Look at that temperature prospect . rafts of strong colors , yes , but that ’s not all . There ’s something extra pregnant about it .
If you have n’t been checking NOAA ’s three month temperature outlook on the regular for the retiring twenty years , it ’s easy to miss the historical nature of this one . So have me write it out : for the next three months , above - average temperature are favored everywhere across the United States . In archive give-up the ghost back to 1995 , this has never happened before .
NOAA ’s three calendar month temperature outlook is often a source of confusion . It ’s not saying America has a three calendar month heat wave in computer memory , nor is it say there wo n’t be domain of the country that are unseasonably nerveless . It is n’t telling us how hot or cold thing are expected to be . It ’s simply giving the probability that different piece of the area will be warm , or cool , than the long - term norm .
And for the next three months , affair are look toasty . That ’s not too surprising , seeing how the ocean are still venting heat from themost powerful El Niño on recordand thedecades of worldwide warming that preceded it . Every calendar month this twelvemonth has already broken its respective monthly temperature record , placing2016 on caterpillar tread to be the hot twelvemonth in recorded history .
Whether or not the next three months hoist up being abysmally live , or mercifully median , this outlook signal a new normal for our mood state — hotter than the long - term norm , until , of course , that long - term average gets mellow out away . What ’s prodigious for now is going to start look very familiar in the years to come .
[ Climate Central ]
ClimateClimate changeGlobal warmingWeather
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